The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture and Production Efficiency

Authors

  • Md. Saleh Mahmud Associate Professor, Department of Sociology, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi 6205, Bangladesh. Author
  • Bijoy Krishna Banik Professor, Department of Sociology, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi 6205, Bangladesh. Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.64102/rujssbs.0468

Keywords:

Climate change, Agriculture, Crop production, Food security

Abstract

Climate change is a major concern in the contemporary world, and it poses a growing threat to global agricultural production and food security. Agriculture is intrinsically sensitive to climate variability and change, whether caused by natural or human activity. This paper attempts to understand the impact of climate change on agriculture and crop productivity, with a special focus on Bangladesh. It has been written based on a systematic literature review of previous studies, published reports, climate models, and prediction data. Climate change events—higher temperatures, rise of sea level, changing rainfall patterns, salinity intrusion, land degradation, extreme weather events, and ecosystem disruption—could reduce agricultural output and impede progress toward achieving food security. Finally, the loss of agricultural production due to climate change can have an impact on the entire food supply chain, including food availability, access to resources for acquiring food, food consumption, and food stability. Therefore, there is a need to carry out such investigations to examine the impact of climate change on agricultural productivity and ensure food security for the growing population.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

  • Md. Saleh Mahmud, Associate Professor, Department of Sociology, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi 6205, Bangladesh.

    Associate Professor, Department of Sociology, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi 6205, Bangladesh.

  • Bijoy Krishna Banik, Professor, Department of Sociology, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi 6205, Bangladesh.

    Professor, Department of Sociology, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi 6205, Bangladesh.

References

Ahsan, S., Ali, M. S., Hoque, M. R., Osman, M. S., Rahman, M., Babar, M. J., ... & Islam, K. R. (2011). Agricultural and environmental changes in Bangladesh in response to global warming. In Climate change and food security in South Asia (pp. 119-134). Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands.

Ali, A. M. S. (2006). Rice to shrimp: Land use/land cover changes and soil degradation in Southwestern Bangladesh. Land use policy, 23(4), 421-435.

Amin, M. R., Zhang, J., & Yang, M. (2015). Effects of climate change on the yield and cropping area of major food crops: A case of Bangladesh. Sustainability, 7(1), 898-915.

Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Rosenzweig, C., Jones, J. W., Hatfield, J. L., Ruane, A. C., ... & Wolf, J. (2013). Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change. Nature climate change, 3(9), 827-832.

BCCSAP (2009). Bangladesh Climate Change Strategy and Action Plan. Ministry of Environment and Forests, Government of the People's Republic of Bangladesh, Dhaka.

Brammer, H. (2019). Climate Change, Sea-level Rise and Development in Bangladesh, Dhaka: University Press Limited.

Brammer, H. (1987). Drought in Bangladesh: lessons for planners and administrators. Disasters, 11(1), 21-29.

C. C. C. (2009). Adaptive crop agriculture including innovative farming practices in the Coastal Zone of Bangladesh. DoE, MoEF, 1996-2003.

Godfray, H. C. J., Beddington, J. R., Crute, I. R., Haddad, L., Lawrence, D., Muir, J. F., ... & Toulmin, C. (2010). Food security: the challenge of feeding 9 billion people. science, 327(5967), 812-818.

Cheeseman, J. (2016). Food security in the face of salinity, drought, climate change, and population growth. In Halophytes for food security in dry lands (pp. 111-123). Academic Press.

Chijioke, O. B., Haile, M., & Waschkeit, C. (2011). Implication of climate change on crop yield and food accessibility in Sub-Saharan Africa. Centre for Development Research. Bonn: University of Bonn, 15(9).

Cline, W. R. (2008). Global warming and agriculture. Finance and Development, 45(1), 23.

Delta Plan (2018) Bangladesh 2100: Bangladesh in the 21st Century, The Best Gift for the Future Generations by the Present Generation, Bangladesh Planning Commission Ministry of Planning Government of the People’s Republic of Bangladesh

Dennis, I. A., Macklin, M. G., Coulthard, T. J., & Brewer, P. A. (2003). The impact of the October–November 2000 floods on contaminant metal dispersal in the River Swale catchment, North Yorkshire, UK. Hydrological Processes, 17(8), 1641-1657.

Douglas, I. (2009). Climate change, flooding and food security in south Asia. Food Security, 1, 127-136.

Downing, T. E. (1993). The effects of climate change on agriculture and food security. Renewable Energy, 3(4-5), 491-497.

Easterling, W. E., Aggarwal, P. K., Batima, P., Brander, K. M., Erda, L., Howden, S. M., ... & Tubiello, F. N. (2007). Food, fibre and forest products. Climate change, 2007, 273-313.

Ericksen, N. J., Ahmad, Q. K., & Chowdhury, A. R. (1993). Socio-economic implications of climate change for Bangladesh (No. 4). Dhaka: Bangladesh Unnayan Parishad.

FAO. (2008) Climate change and food Security: A framework document, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Rome.

Garg, N. K., & Hassan, Q. (2007). Alarming scarcity of water in India. Current Science, 932-941.

Giddens, A. (2009). Politics of climate change. Polity.

Gornall, J., Betts, R., Burke, E., Clark, R., Camp, J., Willett, K., & Wiltshire, A. (2010). Implications of climate change for agricultural productivity in the early twenty-first century. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 365(1554), 2973-2989.

Gschwendtner, S., Tejedor, J., Bimueller, C., Dannenmann, M., Knabner, I. K., & Schloter, M. (2014). Climate change induces shifts in abundance and activity pattern of bacteria and archaea catalyzing major transformation steps in nitrogen turnover in a soil from a mid-European beech forest. PLoS One, 9(12), e114278.

Habiba, U., Abedin, M. A., & Shaw, R. (2015). Introduction and overview of food security and risk reduction issues. Food security and risk reduction in Bangladesh, 1-17.

Haq, M., Mia, M. T., Rabbi, M. F., & Ali, M. A. (2011). Incidence and severity of rice diseases and insect pests in relation to climate change. Climate change and food security in South Asia, 445-457.

Herrero, M., Wirsenius, S., Henderson, B., Rigolot, C., Thornton, P., Havlík, P., ... & Gerber, P. J. (2015). Livestock and the environment: what have we learned in the past decade? Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 40(1), 177-202.

Hertel, T. W., Burke, M. B., & Lobell, D. B. (2010). The poverty implications of climate-induced crop yield changes by 2030. Global Environmental Change, 20(4), 577-585.

Hinrichsen, D. (1998). The Ocean Planet, People and the Planet, 7(2):6-9.

Hossain, A., & da Silva, J. T. (2013). Wheat and rice, the epicenter of food security in Bangladesh. Songklanakarin Journal of Science and Technology, 35(3), 261-274.

Hughes, L. (2003). Climate change and Australia: trends, projections and impacts. Austral Ecology, 28(4), 423-443.

IPCC. (2007a.) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to The Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC, In Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, van der Linden PJ, Hanson CE (eds), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

IPCC (2007b). Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC, Cambridge University.

Islam, M. S. and Rashid, M. H. (2011). Climate Change and Sustainable Irrigation Management in Bangladesh. In Climate Change and Food Security in South Asia, Rattan Lal et al., (eds.), Springer Science & Business Media.

Islam, M. S., & Wong, A. T. (2017). Climate change and food in/security: a critical nexus. Environments, 4(2), 38.

Islam, M. N., Baten, M. A., Hossain, M. S., & Islam, M. T. (2008). Impact of few important climatic parameters on aman rice production in Mymensingh District. Journal of Environmental Science and Natural Resources, 1(2), 49-54.

Karim, M. F., & Mimura, N. (2008). Impacts of climate change and sea-level rise on cyclonic storm surge floods in Bangladesh. Global environmental change, 18(3), 490-500.

Karim, Z., Hussain, S. G., & Ahmed, M. (1996). Assessing impacts of climatic variations on foodgrain production in Bangladesh. Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation in Asia and the Pacific: Manila, Philippines, 15–19 January 1996, 53-62.

Karim, Z., Ibrahim, A., Iqbal, A., & Ahmed, M. (1990). Drought in Bangladesh agriculture and irrigation schedules for major crops. Bangladesh Agricultural Research Center (BARC) Publication, 34.

Khan, M. S., Sen, R., Noor, S., Naser, H. M., & Alam, M. K. (2011). Soil, water and climate related constraints for crop production in Bangladesh. Climate change and food security in South Asia, 515-526.

Kleinen, T., & Petschel-Held, G. (2007). Integrated assessment of changes in flooding probabilities due to climate change. Climatic Change, 81(3), 283-312.

Knox, J., Hess, T., Daccache, A., & Wheeler, T. (2012). Climate change impacts on crop productivity in Africa and South Asia. Environmental research letters, 7(3), 034032.

Li, Z., & Fang, H. (2016). Impacts of climate change on water erosion: A review. Earth-Science Reviews, 163, 94-117.

Milly, P. C., Dunne, K. A., & Vecchia, A. V. (2005). Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate. Nature, 438(7066), 347-350.

Mirza, M. M. Q. (2002). Global warming and changes in the probability of occurrence of floods in Bangladesh and implications. Global environmental change, 12(2), 127-138.

MoP (2020). 8th Five Year Plan, July 2020 - June 2025, General Economics Division (GED) Bangladesh Planning Commission, Ministry of Planning, Government of the People’s Republic of Bangladesh

Oerke, E. C. (2006). Crop losses to pests. The Journal of agricultural science, 144(1), 31-43.

Olesen, J. E., & Bindi, M. (2002). Consequences of climate change for European agricultural productivity, land use and policy. European journal of agronomy, 16(4), 239-262.

McCarthy, J. J. (Ed.). (2001). Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability: contribution of Working Group II to the third assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Vol. 2). Cambridge university press.

Qafoku, N. P. (2015). Climate-change effects on soils: accelerated weathering, soil carbon, and elemental cycling. Advances in Agronomy, 131, 111-172.

Rahman, A., & Biswas, P. R. (1995). Devours resources. Dhaka Courier, 11(42), 7-8.

Rahman, A. A., Alam, M., Alam, S. S., Uzzaman, M. R., Rashid, M., & Rabbani, G. (2007). Risks, vulnerability and adaptation in Bangladesh. Human Development Report, 8.

Rahmstorf, S. (2007). A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise. Science, 315(5810), 368-370.

Rashid, M. M., Hoque, A. K. F., & Iftekhar, M. S. (2004). Salt tolerances of some multipurpose tree species as determined by seed germination. Journal of Biological Sciences, 4(3), 288-292.

Revi, A. (2012). Climate change risk: an adaptation and mitigation agenda for Indian cities. In Adapting Cities to Climate Change (pp. 311-338). Routledge.

Ray, R. L., Fares, A., & Risch, E. (2018). Effects of drought on crop production and cropping areas in Texas. Agricultural & Environmental Letters, 3(1), 170037.

Reed, M. S., & Stringer, L. C. (2016). Land degradation, desertification and climate change: Anticipating, assessing and adapting to future change. Routledge.

Rosenzweig, C., Iglesius, A., Yang, X. B., Epstein, P. R., & Chivian, E. (2001). Climate change and extreme weather events-Implications for food production, plant diseases, and pests.

Ruane, A. C., Major, D. C., Winston, H. Y., Alam, M., Hussain, S. G., Khan, A. S., ... & Rosenzweig, C. (2013). Multi-factor impact analysis of agricultural production in Bangladesh with climate change. Global environmental change, 23(1), 338-350.

Runólfsson, S., & Ágústsdóttir, A. M. (2010). Restoration of degraded and desertified lands: experience from Iceland. In Climate change and food security in South Asia (pp. 153-161). Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands.

Saha, S. K., & Barmon, S. (2015). Natural Causes: Climate Change Implications, Resource Management and Food Security. Food Security and Risk Reduction in Bangladesh, 39-52.

Sarker, M. A. R., Alam, K., & Gow, J. (2012). Exploring the relationship between climate change and rice yield in Bangladesh: An analysis of time series data. Agricultural Systems, 112, 11-16.

Siddika, Z. (2013). A study on the possible impacts of climate change on food security in the central coastal area of Bangladesh (Doctoral dissertation, Master Thesis, Master of Environmental Science, School of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Wollongong).

Singh, O. P. (2002). Spatial variation of sea level trend along the Bangladesh coast. Marine Geodesy, 25(3), 205-212.

Skendžić, S., Zovko, M., Živković, I. P., Lešić, V., & Lemić, D. (2021). The impact of climate change on agricultural insect pests. Insects, 12(5), 440.

Spijkers, M. A. (2011). Implications of climate change on agriculture and food security in South Asia. In Climate change and food security in South Asia (pp. 217-227). Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands.

Webb, N. P., Marshall, N. A., Stringer, L. C., Reed, M. S., Chappell, A., & Herrick, J. E. (2017). Land degradation and climate change: building climate resilience in agriculture. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 15(8), 450-459.

Zhang, X., & Cai, X. (2011). Climate change impacts on global agricultural land availability. Environmental Research Letters, 6(1), 014014.

Published

2025-10-01

How to Cite

Mahmud, M. S., & Banik, B. K. (2025). The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture and Production Efficiency. Rajshahi University Journal of Social Science and Business Studies, 29, 1-16. https://doi.org/10.64102/rujssbs.0468

Similar Articles

1-10 of 14

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.

Most read articles by the same author(s)

1 2 > >>